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Rate increases could be more gradual as the bank decides if it has properly estimated the labour market's full potential

Toronto PATH sign

Business is improving in Toronto’s underground mall system, but lags street-level activity

The jobless rate is still above the pre-pandemic level, however, despite recent gains

Inflation, economic recovery and job market seen to be driving the Fed

a man on a precipice

Model forecast jumps on recent robust readings

The U.S. economy still remains under threat from a spike in inflation, shortages of labour and supplies

angry client meeting

Declining unemployment and rising job vacancies could lead to worsening labour shortages or skill mismatches

binoculars

Businesses expect profits to hold up, even as prices rise and amid labour shortages

Canada Parliament and Canadian Flag over blue sky.

High unemployment and labour shortages help explain why the government wants to target aid

Two entrepreneurs working on their bills in the retail store

Employers have made 18 million new hires since April 2020