UBS Investment Bank reports that it is moving to an overweight position in global equities for the year ahead.
The firm notes that it sees a soft landing in the U.S. and global economies in 2008. Earnings growth should slow but remain positive, it says, adding that mid-single digit growth is more likely than the double digit growth that has been the case in prior years (and that bottom-up estimates expect). UBS anticipates downgrades to earnings growth estimates for 2008.
It also says that economic growth will also slow in the rest of the world, leading to a slowing of final demand growth. But, it believes that global GDP will stay near to its historic trend.
It is looking for a 10% return on equities next year. “The principal driver of this, however, will move away from earnings growth, towards modest multiple expansion,” it says.
UBS to overweight global equities
Soft landing in U.S. and global economies expected in 2008
- By: James Langton
- December 3, 2007 December 3, 2007
- 16:36