The Conference Board consumer confidence index posted a slight increase in June following a decrease in May. The index now stands at 105.7, up from 104.7 in May. The present situation index decreased to 132.7 from 134.1. But the expectations index, however, edged up to 87.6 from 85.1 last month.
“The slight bounce-back in confidence this month was a result of the moderate improvement in consumers’ expectations,” says Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board Consumer Research Center. “Despite the up-tick, consumers remain concerned about the short-term outlook. Furthermore, the present situation index lost ground for the second consecutive month, a signal that the economy is shifting into lower gear heading into the second half of this year.”
Consumers’ overall assessment of current conditions, while favourable, declined for the second consecutive month. Those claiming conditions are “good” declined to 26.8% from 28.5%. Those claiming conditions are “bad” eased to 14.9% from 15.2%. Labour market conditions were mixed with consumers who say jobs are “plentiful” decreasing to 28.1% from 29.1%, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get” decreased to 19.9% from 20.2%.
Consumers’ outlook for the next six months, which had deteriorated in May, improved moderately in June. Those expecting business conditions to worsen decreased to 11.8% from 12.9%. Those expecting business conditions to improve increased to 16.8% from 16.5%.
The outlook for the labour market was also somewhat more optimistic. Those expecting more jobs to become available in the next six months increased to 15.6% from 14.8% in May. Those expecting fewer jobs declined to 17% from 18%. The proportion of consumers anticipating their incomes to increase in the months ahead remained virtually unchanged at 17.1%.
The consumer confidence survey is based on a representative sample of 5,000 U.S. households. The monthly survey is conducted for the Conference Board by custom research company TNS.