The loonie dropped sharply after the Bank of Canada kept its key interest rate target on hold Wednesday, as North American stock markets pulled back on profit taking.
The Canadian dollar was trading at an average price of US78.30¢, down 0.65 of a cent.
“The loonie seems to have had its peak when the Bank of Canada was raising interest rates and the reports of year-over-year economic growth were coming out stronger than people had expected,” said Norman Levine, managing director of Portfolio Management Corp.
“Now people are seeing that rates aren’t going to go up as fast in Canada as they were before and that economic growth in Canada will probably be lower next year than it was this year.”
The Bank of Canada left its benchmark interest rate unchanged Wednesday following two straight hikes since July in response to the economy’s impressive run over the last four quarters. The central bank warned it expects to stick to its rate-hiking path, although at perhaps a more tentative pace.
In its scheduled announcement, the bank said it held off this time in part because it expects the recent strength of the Canadian dollar to slow the rise in the pace of inflation.
The move in the loonie Wednesday came as the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index fell 50.37 points to 15,854.77.
South of the border it was also a negative day, with U.S. stocks giving back most of their profits earned Tuesday.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average tumbled 112.30 points to 23,329.46. The S&P 500 index gave back 11.98 points to 2,557.15 and the Nasdaq composite index was down 34.54 points to 6,563.89.
“I think in general markets have had the longest run, especially the U.S. markets, without a 5% correction in recent or longer memory,” said Levine. “It’s not surprising you get some profit taking after some big runs. We keep expecting the 5%, the 10% correction, but we keep never getting it.”
Still, Levine added, while U.S. stocks are at the high-end of historic valuations, “they’re not blowout, stupid valuations.”
In commodities news, the December crude contract lost US29¢ to close at US$52.18 per barrel and the December natural gas contract was down US5¢ at US$3.08 per mmBTU.
The December gold contract added US70¢ to US$1,279.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down US2¢ to US$3.18 a pound.