Latest news in Research and Markets

Aerial drone view of petrol industrial zone or oil refinery in Yaroslavl, Russia during sunset time.

Oil price outlook volatile, uncertain: Moody’s

Economic risks and supply constraints underpin a cloudy forecast

First inventory decline in two years: StatsCan

Manufacturing sales flat, new and unfilled order activity softens in November

Bank of Canada’s business and consumer surveys show signs of a weakening economy

Businesses and consumers expect inflation to remain elevated in the short term and ease within five years

Debt worries rise amid higher interest rates and persistent inflation: MNP report

More than half say they'll be in financial trouble if interest rates go up much more

Miniature House on A Financial Graph

CREA predicts 2023 home sales to edge down 0.5% from 2022 mark

The average home price in December was down 12% from a year earlier

ECB rate hikes to go higher than expected: Fitch

Stronger core inflation expected to drive higher rates in euro area

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U.S. banks face pressure on deposits, liquidity: Fitch

Higher interest rates to drive down deposits and increase funding costs

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Job market faces its own long Covid

A rise in worker absences is contributing to labour costs and inflation, CIBC says

Tread carefully

Can the U.S. avoid a recession?

As inflation eases, optimism rises

merger

Oversight regimes for credit unions and banks converging, DBRS finds

Provincial regulation increasingly tracks federal rules, but gaps remain

Inflation written newspaper

Inflation retreats alongside commodity prices: OECD

Led by lower energy and food prices, annual inflation down in November

Concept of real estate, mortgage and lease

Canada will see weakest level of home sales since 2001 this year: TD report

Home prices are expected to reach their bottom sometime in early 2023, after declining 20% from peak to trough

Man and woman sitting in cafeteria discussing finance for the month. Stressed couple looking at bills sitting in restaurant wearing uniform apron. Cafe staff sitting together looking at expenses and bills. (Man and woman sitting in cafeteria discussi

Canada faces mass exodus of small business owners

Challenges caused by the Covid-19 pandemic have affected owners’ exit timelines, the CFIB says

A global network of investment points

World Bank warning: Global economy is at risk of recession

The global lender slashed its forecast for global growth this year by nearly half to just 1.7%

financial risk

Revenue forecasts cut on economic woes

Fitch lowers corporate revenue projections, citing macro risks

Aerial drone view of petrol industrial zone or oil refinery in Yaroslavl, Russia during sunset time.

Energy price volatility to continue in 2023 amid geopolitical uncertainty: Deloitte

Global demand for oil and natural gas will likely elevate prices and benefit Canadian energy companies

No negativity bias in economic news coverage, Federal Reserve research finds

Rather, the economy reacts more strongly to negative news

Inflation causing price rising up, overvalued stock or funds, consumer purchasing power reducing concept, air balloon tied with product price tag flying high rising up in the sky.

More rate hikes looming, even as energy, supply issues ease

Inflation shifts from goods to services, BMO report explains

RBC leads equity deals, NBF tops in debt

Canadian equity issuance dropped sharply in 2022, and debt down too

stock portfolio allocation

Don’t neglect bonds this year despite tough 2022, PMs say

High quality, longer duration are factors to consider

niche investment

Consumer insolvencies in November move closer to pre-pandemic level

Inflation, end of Covid-19 support helped drive the increase

Trade deficit returned in November: StatsCan

Lower energy exports, higher dollar drive swing in trade balance

growth

Interest rate increases set to hit big banks in 2023: DBRS

Lagging effects of higher rates to impact banks' bottom lines this year

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December home sales in Toronto down 48% from last year

In this economic cycle, national home prices could fall 25% from their peak, BMO says

Modern office building close up in sunlight

Profit Survey: Optimism still present as net income falls for the financial sector

Ten of the 42 firms in the survey raised their quarterly dividends amid darkening economic conditions