Oil price outlook volatile, uncertain: Moody’s
Economic risks and supply constraints underpin a cloudy forecast
- By: James Langton
- January 16, 2023 January 16, 2023
- 14:06
Economic risks and supply constraints underpin a cloudy forecast
Manufacturing sales flat, new and unfilled order activity softens in November
Businesses and consumers expect inflation to remain elevated in the short term and ease within five years
More than half say they'll be in financial trouble if interest rates go up much more
The average home price in December was down 12% from a year earlier
A rise in worker absences is contributing to labour costs and inflation, CIBC says
As inflation eases, optimism rises
Provincial regulation increasingly tracks federal rules, but gaps remain
Led by lower energy and food prices, annual inflation down in November
Home prices are expected to reach their bottom sometime in early 2023, after declining 20% from peak to trough
Challenges caused by the Covid-19 pandemic have affected owners’ exit timelines, the CFIB says
The global lender slashed its forecast for global growth this year by nearly half to just 1.7%
Global demand for oil and natural gas will likely elevate prices and benefit Canadian energy companies
Rather, the economy reacts more strongly to negative news
Inflation shifts from goods to services, BMO report explains
Canadian equity issuance dropped sharply in 2022, and debt down too
High quality, longer duration are factors to consider
Inflation, end of Covid-19 support helped drive the increase
Lower energy exports, higher dollar drive swing in trade balance
In this economic cycle, national home prices could fall 25% from their peak, BMO says
Ten of the 42 firms in the survey raised their quarterly dividends amid darkening economic conditions