Merrill Lynch today introduced two new indices designed to offer investors exposure to the fast-growing biofuels market with greater liquidity, transparency and efficiency than financial instruments currently available.
The MLCX Biofuels Index weights commodities according to production levels and calorific potential, in order to reflect their economic value. It contains seven commodities commonly used as biofuels feedstock: sugar, corn, soybeans, barley, rapeseed, canola and soybean oil.
The MLCX Biofuels Plus Index adds gasoline and diesel to the commodities in the MLCX Biofuels Index. The MLCX Biofuels Plus Index reflects how current technology and infrastructure is more geared to blending biofuels with conventional fossil fuels than to offering a pure biofuel alternative.
“Our indices have been carefully designed to mitigate the negative roll returns inherent to many agricultural commodities markets,” said Francisco Blanch, head of global commodity research at Merrill Lynch, in a release. “They also offer additional returns by overweighting crops that produce the most energy in biofuel production, notably sugar and soybeans.”
Merrill Lynch expects demand for agricultural commodities to grow in the long term, thanks in part to legislation. It notes that European directives adopted in 2003 aim to derive 5.75% of total transport fuel consumption from biofuels by 2010 and up to 20% by 2020. Also, the US Renewable Fuel Standard Program requires that at least 7.5 billion gallons of renewable fuel be blended into vehicle fuel by 2012.
“Slow progress in finding more efficient ways to produce biofuels means that the demand will have to be met by a massive expansion in supply, increasing competition for cropland, labour and water,” it says. “This could drive up the price of biofuels related crops as well as other crops such as wheat, rice and coffee.”